Chapter 8 Effect of Varying Designs on Power

Researchers might consider what the effects on the statistical power of their design is, when they add participants. Participants can be added to an additional condition, or to the existing design.

In a one-way ANOVA adding a condition means, for example, going from a 1x2 to a 1x3 design. For example, in addition to a control and intensive training condition, we add a light training condition.

string <- "2b"
n <- 50
mu <- c(80, 86) 
sd <- 10
labelnames <- c("Condition", "control", "intensive_training") 
design_result <- ANOVA_design(design = string,
                   n = n, 
                   mu = mu, 
                   sd = sd, 
                   labelnames = labelnames)

# Power for the given N in the design_result
power_oneway_between(design_result)$power
## [1] 84.38754
power_oneway_between(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.3
power_oneway_between(design_result)$eta_p_2
## [1] 0.08256881
simulation_result <- ANOVA_power(design_result, 
                                 alpha_level = alpha_level, 
                                 nsims = nsims,
                                 verbose = FALSE)
Table 8.1: Simulated ANOVA Result
power effect_size
anova_Condition 84.15 0.0911796
exact_result <- ANOVA_exact(design_result,
                            alpha_level = alpha_level,
                            verbose = FALSE)
Table 8.2: Exact ANOVA Result
power partial_eta_squared cohen_f non_centrality
Condition 84.38754 0.0841121 0.3030458 9

We now addd a condition. Let’s assume the ‘light training’ condition falls in between the other two means.

And we can see power across sample sizes

# Plot power curve (from 5 to 100)
plot_power(design_result, max_n = 100)

## Achieved Power and Sample Size for ANOVA-level effects
##    variable                  label  n achieved_power desired_power
## 1 Condition Desired Power Achieved 60          90.31            90
string <- "3b"
n <- 50
mu <- c(80, 83, 86)
sd <- 10
labelnames <- c("Condition", "control", "light_training", "intensive_training")
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  labelnames = labelnames
)

# Power for the given N in the design_result
power_oneway_between(design_result)$power
## [1] 76.16545
power_oneway_between(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.244949
power_oneway_between(design_result)$eta_p_2
## [1] 0.05660377
exact_result <- ANOVA_exact(design_result,
                            alpha_level = alpha_level,
                            verbose = FALSE)
Table 8.3: Exact ANOVA Result
power partial_eta_squared cohen_f non_centrality
Condition 76.16545 0.0576923 0.2474358 9

We see that adding a condition that falls between the other two means reduces our power. Let’s instead assume that the ‘light training’ condition is not different from the control condition. In other words, the mean we add is as extreme as one of the existing means.

# Plot power curve (from 5 to 100)
plot_power(design_result, max_n = 100)

## Achieved Power and Sample Size for ANOVA-level effects
##    variable                  label  n achieved_power desired_power
## 1 Condition Desired Power Achieved 72          90.29            90
string <- "3b"
n <- 50
mu <- c(80, 80, 86)
sd <- 10
labelnames <- c("Condition", "control", "light_training", "intensive_training")
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  labelnames = labelnames
)

# Power for the given N in the design_result
power_oneway_between(design_result)$power
## [1] 87.62941
power_oneway_between(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.2828427
power_oneway_between(design_result)$eta_p_2
## [1] 0.07407407

Now power has increased. This is not always true. The power is a function of many factors in the design, incuding the effect size (Cohen’s f) and the total sample size (and the degrees of freedom and number of groups). But as we will see below, as we keep adding conditions, the power will reduce, even if initially, the power might increase.

# Plot power curve (from 5 to 100)
plot_power(design_result,max_n = 100)

## Achieved Power and Sample Size for ANOVA-level effects
##    variable                  label  n achieved_power desired_power
## 1 Condition Desired Power Achieved 54          90.15            90

It helps to think of these different designs in terms of either partial eta-squared, or Cohen’s f (the one can easily be converted into the other).

#Two groups
mu <- c(80, 86)
sd = 10
n <- 50 #sample size per condition
mean_mat <- t(matrix(mu, nrow = 2, ncol = 1)) #Create a mean matrix
# Using the sweep function to remove rowmeans from the matrix
mean_mat_res <- sweep(mean_mat, 2, rowMeans(mean_mat))
mean_mat_res
##      [,1] [,2]
## [1,]   -3    3
MS_a <- n * (sum(mean_mat_res ^ 2) / (2 - 1))
MS_a
## [1] 900
SS_A <- n * sum(mean_mat_res ^ 2)
SS_A
## [1] 900
MS_error <- sd ^ 2
MS_error
## [1] 100
SS_error <- MS_error * (n * 2)
SS_error
## [1] 10000
eta_p_2 <- SS_A / (SS_A + SS_error)
eta_p_2
## [1] 0.08256881
f_2 <- eta_p_2 / (1 - eta_p_2)
f_2
## [1] 0.09
Cohen_f <- sqrt(f_2)
Cohen_f
## [1] 0.3
#Three groups
mu <- c(80, 83, 86)
sd = 10
n <- 50
mean_mat <- t(matrix(mu, nrow = 3, ncol = 1)) #Create a mean matrix
# Using the sweep function to remove rowmeans from the matrix
mean_mat_res <- sweep(mean_mat, 2, rowMeans(mean_mat))
mean_mat_res
##      [,1] [,2] [,3]
## [1,]   -3    0    3
MS_a <- n * (sum(mean_mat_res ^ 2) / (3 - 1))
MS_a
## [1] 450
SS_A <- n * sum(mean_mat_res ^ 2)
SS_A
## [1] 900
MS_error <- sd ^ 2
MS_error
## [1] 100
SS_error <- MS_error * (n * 3)
SS_error
## [1] 15000
eta_p_2 <- SS_A / (SS_A + SS_error)
eta_p_2
## [1] 0.05660377
f_2 <- eta_p_2 / (1 - eta_p_2)
f_2
## [1] 0.06
Cohen_f <- sqrt(f_2)
Cohen_f
## [1] 0.244949

The SS_A or the sum of squares for the main effect, is 900 for two groups, and the SS_error for the error term is 10000. When we add a group, SS_A is 900, and the SS_error is 15000. Because the added condition falls exactly on the grand mean (83), the sum of squared for this extra group is 0. In other words, it does nothing to increase the signal that there is a difference between groups. However, the sum of squares for the error, which is a function of the total sample size, is increased, which reduces the effect size. So, adding a condition that falls on the grand mean reduces the power for the main effect of the ANOVA. Obviously, adding such a group has other benefits, such as being able to compare the two means to a new third condition.

We already saw that adding a condition that has a mean as extreme as one of the existing groups increases the power. Let’s again do the calculations step by step when the extra group has a mean as extreme as one of the two original conditions.

#Three groups
mu <- c(80, 80, 86)
sd = 10
n <- 50
mean_mat <- t(matrix(mu, nrow = 3, ncol = 1)) #Create a mean matrix
# Using the sweep function to remove rowmeans from the matrix
mean_mat_res <- sweep(mean_mat, 2, rowMeans(mean_mat))
mean_mat_res
##      [,1] [,2] [,3]
## [1,]   -2   -2    4
MS_a <- n * (sum(mean_mat_res ^ 2) / (3 - 1))
MS_a
## [1] 600
SS_A <- n * sum(mean_mat_res ^ 2)
SS_A
## [1] 1200
MS_error <- sd ^ 2
MS_error
## [1] 100
SS_error <- MS_error * (n * 3)
SS_error
## [1] 15000
eta_p_2 <- SS_A / (SS_A + SS_error)
eta_p_2
## [1] 0.07407407
f_2 <- eta_p_2 / (1 - eta_p_2)
f_2
## [1] 0.08
Cohen_f <- sqrt(f_2)
Cohen_f
## [1] 0.2828427

We see the sum of squares of the error stays the same - 15000 - because it is only determined by the standard error and the sample size, but not by the differences in the means. This is an increase of 5000 compared to the 2 group design. The sum of squares (the second component that determines the size of partial eta-squared) increases, which increases Cohen’s f.

8.1 Within Designs

Now imagine our design described above was a within design. The means and sd remain the same. We collect 50 participants (instead of 100, or 50 per group, for the between design). Let’s first assume the two samples are completely uncorrelated.

string <- "2w"
n <- 50
mu <- c(80, 86)
sd <- 10
labelnames <- c("Condition", "control", "intensive_training") #
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  labelnames = labelnames
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 83.66436
exact_result <- ANOVA_exact(design_result,
                            alpha_level = alpha_level,
                            verbose = FALSE)
Table 8.4: Exact ANOVA Result
power partial_eta_squared cohen_f non_centrality
Condition 83.66436 0.1551724 0.4285714 9

We see power is ever so slightly less than for the between subject design. This is due to the loss in degrees of freedom, which is \(2(n-1)\) for between designs, and \(n-1\) for within designs. But as the correlation increases, the power advantage of within designs becomes stronger.

string <- "3w"
n <- 50
mu <- c(80, 83, 86)
sd <- 10
labelnames <- c("Condition", "control", "light_training", "intensive_training")
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  labelnames = labelnames
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 75.70841
exact_result <- ANOVA_exact(design_result,
                            alpha_level = alpha_level,
                            verbose = FALSE)
Table 8.5: Exact ANOVA Result
power partial_eta_squared cohen_f non_centrality
Condition 75.70841 0.0841121 0.3030458 9

When we add a a condition in a within design where we expect the mean to be identical to the grand mean, we again see that the power decreases. This similarly shows that adding a condition that equals the grand mean to a within subject design does not come for free, but has a power cost.

n <- 30
sd <- 10
r <- 0.5
string <- "2w"
mu <- c(0, 5) 
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  r = r
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 75.39647
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.25
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS
## [1] 0.5085476
power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda
## [1] 7.5
power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical
## [1] 4.182964
string <- "3w"
mu <- c(0, 0, 5)

design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  r = r
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 79.37037
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.2357023
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS
## [1] 0.4152274
power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda
## [1] 10
power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical
## [1] 3.155932
string <- "4w"
mu <- c(0, 0, 0, 5)
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  r = r
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 79.40126
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.2165064
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS
## [1] 0.3595975
power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda
## [1] 11.25
power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical
## [1] 2.709402
string <- "5w"
mu <- c(0, 0, 0, 0, 5) 

design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  r = r
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 78.38682
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.2
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS
## [1] 0.3216338
power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda
## [1] 12
power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical
## [1] 2.44988
string <- "6w"
mu <- c(0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5) 
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  r = r
)

power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
## [1] 76.99592
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f
## [1] 0.186339
power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS
## [1] 0.2936101
power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda
## [1] 12.5
power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical
## [1] 2.276603
string <- "7w"
mu <- c(0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5) 
design_result <- ANOVA_design(
  design = string,
  n = n,
  mu = mu,
  sd = sd,
  r = r
)

print(paste0("power: ", power_oneway_within(design_result)$power, "\nCohen's F: ", power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f,
             "\nCohen's F (SPSS): ", power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS,
             "\nlambda: ", power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda,
             "\nCritical F: ",
             power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical
             ))
## [1] "power: 75.4600950274594\nCohen's F: 0.174963553055941\nCohen's F (SPSS): 0.271830141109781\nlambda: 12.8571428571429\nCritical F: 2.15101618343483"
# power_oneway_within(design_result)$power
# power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f
# power_oneway_within(design_result)$Cohen_f_SPSS
# power_oneway_within(design_result)$lambda
# power_oneway_within(design_result)$F_critical

This set of designs where we increase the number of conditions demonstrates a common pattern where the power initially increases, but then starts to decrease. Again, the exact pattern (and when the power starts to decrease) depends on the effect size and sample size. Note also that the effect size (Cohen’s f) decreases as we add conditions, but the increased sample size compensates for this when calculating power. When using power analysis software such as g*power (Faul et al. 2007), this is important to realize. You can’t just power for a medium effect size, and then keep adding conditions under the assumption that the increased power you see in the program will become a reality. Increasing the number of conditions will reduce the effect size, and therefore, adding conditions will not automatically increase power (and might even decrease it).

Overall, the effect of adding conditions with an effect close to the grand mean reduces power quite strongly, and adding conditions with means close to the extreme of the current conditions will either slightly increase of decrease power.

References

Faul, Franz, Edgar Erdfelder, Albert-Georg Lang, and Axel Buchner. 2007. “G*power 3: A Flexible Statistical Power Analysis Program for the Social, Behavioral, and Biomedical Sciences.” Behavior Research Methods 39 (2): 175–91. http://www.psychologie.hhu.de/arbeitsgruppen/allgemeine-psychologie-und-arbeitspsychologie/gpower.html.